Decoding M&As Dynamics in the Indo-Pacific : Insights from QUAD Countries
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2026/v20i4/175262Keywords:
mergers and acquisitions, QUAD countries, liquidity, gross domestic product, real effective exchange rate, consumer price inflation, and real interest rate.JEL Classification Codes : G3, G4, M1
Publishing Chronology: Paper Submission Date : August 20, 2025 ; Paper sent back for Revision : March 24, 2026 ; Paper Acceptance Date : March 28, 2026 ; Paper Published Online : April 15, 2026
Abstract
Purpose : This study examined the impact of key macroeconomic factors (liquidity, gross domestic product (GDP), real effective exchange rate (REER), consumer price inflation (CPI), and real interest rate) on mergers and acquisitions (M&As) volumes within the QUAD countries (Australia, India, Japan, and the United States), evaluating domestic, inbound, and outbound M&As segments.
Methodology : The research employed a negative binomial fixed-effects panel regression model to analyze M&As activity for each QUAD country individually and as a collective bloc.
Findings : The study revealed that foreign direct investment (FDI) consistently influenced all types of M&As activities across the QUAD bloc. Liquidity and REER exhibited varying effects depending on the M&As segment, while GDP, inflation, and interest rates showed moderate and segment-specific impacts, underlining the complex interaction between macroeconomic conditions and cross-border investments.
Practical Implications : This research contributed to the limited literature on M&As by focusing on the strategic role of macroeconomic stability in the QUAD countries. The findings provided valuable guidance for policymakers and firms involved in strategic cross-border transactions within the Indo-Pacific region.
Originality : Unlike prior research focusing on BRICS economies, bilateral FDI, or target-country factors, this study provided the first systematic evidence on how macroeconomic factors shaped M&A activity in QUAD countries.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
References
1) Agresti, A. (2018). An introduction to categorical data analysis. John Wiley & Sons. https://www.scirp.org/reference/referencespapers?referenceid=3479256
2) Billington, N. (1999). The location of foreign direct investment: An empirical analysis. Applied Economics, 31(1), 65–76. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2019.12067087 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2019.12067087
3) Blonigen, B. A. (2019). Chapter 3: Firm-specific assets and the link between exchange rates and foreign direct investment. In World Scientific Studies in International Economics (pp. 89–120). World Scientific. https://doi.org/10.1142/9789813277014_0003 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/9789813277014_0003
4) Boateng, A., Du, M., Wang, Y., Wang, C., & Ahammad, M. F. (2017). Explaining the surge in M&A as an entry mode: Home country and cultural influences. International Marketing Review, 34(1), 87–108. https://doi.org/10.1108/imr-10-2014-0330 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IMR-10-2014-0330
5) Caves, R. E. (1989). Mergers, takeovers, and economic efficiency: Foresight vs. hindsight. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 7(1), 151–174. https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-7187(89)90051-9 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-7187(89)90051-9
6) Choi, S. H., & Jeon, B. N. (2011). The impact of the macroeconomic environment on merger activity: Evidence from US time-series data. Applied Financial Economics, 21(4), 233–249. https://doi.org/10.1080/09603107.2010.528365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09603107.2010.528365
7) Dikova, D., Panibratov, A., & Veselova, A. (2019). Investment motives, ownership advantages and institutional distance: An examination of Russian cross-border acquisitions. International Business Review, 28(4), 625–637. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ibusrev.2018.12.007 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ibusrev.2018.12.007
8) Erel, I., Liao, R. C., & Weisbach, M. S. (2012). Determinants of cross‐border mergers and acquisitions. The Journal of Finance, 67(3), 1045–1082. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2012.01741.x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2012.01741.x
9) Faniband, M., & Singh, S. (2026). Beyond binary decisions: Modeling the frequency of mergers and acquisitions in the Indian IT industry using count data models. Indian Journal of Finance, 20(1), 72–85. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2026/v20i1/175222 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2026/v20i1/175222
10) Gala, C., & Bhattacharya, M. (2022). Mergers and acquisitions in the Indian context: A valuation perspective for the Indian pharmaceutical industry. Indian Journal of Finance, 16(4), 31–46. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2022/v16i4/169173 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2022/v16i4/169173
11) Garg, N. K. (2025). Financial development and sectoral productivity: New insights from selected G20 economies. Indian Journal of Finance, 19(9), 37–56. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2025/v19i9/174521 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2025/v19i9/174521
12) Greene, W. H. (2003). Econometric analysis (5th ed.). Prentice Hall. https://www.scirp.org/reference/referencespapers?referenceid=1875244
13) Gupta, K., Gaur, D., & Bhatia, P. (2023). Estimating intellectual capital and its impact on firms' performance: Use of A-VAIC and M-VAIC models. Indian Journal of Finance, 17(1), 8–26. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2023/v17i1/172600 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2023/v17i1/172600
14) Ibrahim, Y., & Raji, J. O. (2018). Cross-border merger and acquisition activities in Asia: The role of macroeconomic factors. Studies in Economics and Finance, 35(2), 307–329. https://doi.org/10.1108/sef-06-2017-0146 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/SEF-06-2017-0146
15) Jain, D., Maheshwari, G. C., & Singh, A. (2025). Unveiling the drivers of mergers and acquisitions: The mediating role of access to resources. Indian Journal of Finance, 19(5), 37–57. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2025/v19i5/175043 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2025/v19i5/175043
16) Jukunda, M. E., & Sophia, S. (2014). Do acquisitions add value to acquirers in India? A study on the sensitivity of the stock market and acquirer returns. Indian Journal of Finance, 8(5), 5–18. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2014/v8i5/71914 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2014/v8i5/71914
17) Kaur, N. (2025). Determinants of dividend payout decisions of FMCG companies in India: A study of firm-specific characteristics of selected companies. Indian Journal of Finance, 19(9), 57–72. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2025/v19i9/174433 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2025/v19i9/174433
18) Khuntia, S., & Pattanayak, J. K. (2017). Dynamics of Indian Foreign Exchange market efficiency: An adaptive market hypothesis approach. Indian Journal of Finance, 11(9), 39–52. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2017/v11i9/118088 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2017/v11i9/118088
19) Kumar, D., Sengupta, K., & Bhattacharya, M. (2023). Macroeconomic influences on M&A deal outcomes: An analysis of domestic and cross-border M&As in developed and emerging economies. Journal of Business Research, 161, Article ID 113831. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2023.113831 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2023.113831
20) Mohan, A., Mathew, T., & Daniel, R. S. (2025). Determinants of the stock return – Exchange rate dynamic linkage in India and China. Indian Journal of Finance, 19(1), 67–80. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2025/v19i1/174696 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2025/v19i1/174696
21) Nagesh, M., Reddy, D. M., Kumar, N., Chaturvedi, R. P., & Mishra, A. (2025). Time series analysis of FDI in India using ARIMA-SVR hybrid machine learning model. Indian Journal of Finance, 19(9), 73–88. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2025/v19i9/175510 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2025/v19i9/175510
22) Naveenan, R. V., & Viswanathan, T. (2025). Banking dynamics and economic growth in India: Unveiling the interplay of key performance indicators. Indian Journal of Finance, 19(11), 25–40. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2025/v19i11/174492 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2025/v19i11/174492
23) Poonam, & Malik, N. S. (2025). Risk–return efficiency of stochastic oscillator strategies in BRICS during COVID-19 and geopolitical conflicts. Indian Journal of Finance, 19(10), 39–52. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2025/v19i10/175678 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2025/v19i10/175678
24) Prakash, S. (2017). The impact of mergers and acquisitions on shareholders' value: An empirical analysis of select Indian companies. Indian Journal of Finance, 11(9), 22–38. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2017/v11i9/118087 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2017/v11i9/118087
25) Primostka, L., Krasnova, I., Lavreniuk, V., Primostka, E., & Chepizhko, O. (2023). Macroeconomic factors influencing the reorganization of banks in the conditions of economic imbalances. Financial and Credit Activity Problems of Theory and Practice, 44(51), 8–20. https://doi.org/10.55643/fcaptp.4.51.2023.4114 DOI: https://doi.org/10.55643/fcaptp.4.51.2023.4114
26) Rangotra, R. (2026). Challenges in comparing interest rates: A focus on India's banking system. Indian Journal of Finance, 20(3), 31–38. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2026/v20i3/175468 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2026/v20i3/175468
27) Reid, S. R. (1968). Mergers, managers, and the economy. McGraw-Hill. https://archive.org/details/mergersmanagerse0000reid/page/n5/mode/2up
28) Saikia, M., & Borbora, S. (2018). India's outward foreign direct investment: The home-country economic perspective. International Journal of Comparative Management, 1(2), 162–184. https://doi.org/10.1504/ijcm.2018.093300 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1504/IJCM.2018.10014423
29) Thomas, A. E., Bhaumik, A., & Aruja, J. M. (2023). The impact of corporate governance practices on firm-level innovations and their market value: Empirical evidence from India. Indian Journal of Finance, 17(11), 26–39. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2023/v17i11/170424 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2023/v17i11/170424
30) Todtenhaupt, M., Voget, J., Feld, L. P., Ruf, M., & Schreiber, U. (2020). Taxing away M&A: Capital gains taxation and acquisition activity. European Economic Review, 128, Article ID 103505. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2020.103505 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2020.103505
31) Vissa, S. K., & Thenmozhi, M. (2022). What determines mergers and acquisitions in BRICS countries: Liquidity, exchange rate or innovation? Research in International Business and Finance, 61, Article ID 101645. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101645 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101645
32) Wangdi, S., Paul, R., & Roy, D. (2024). Strategic growth via mergers & acquisitions: An empirical study of post-acquisition performance. Indian Journal of Finance, 18(11), 56–70. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2024/v18i11/174642 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2024/v18i11/174642
33) Wong, M. F., Fai, C. K., Yee, Y. C., & Cheng, L. S. (2019). Macroeconomic policy and exchange rate impacts on the foreign direct investment in ASEAN economies. International Journal of
Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, 12(1), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1504/ijepee.2019.098629 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1504/IJEPEE.2019.098629