Direction and Durability of Causality Between Foreign Institutional Investment and Selected Economic Variables in the Indian Context During Pre and Post Sub-Prime Crisis

Authors

  •   Tanu Agarwal Guest Faculty, School of Management Studies, Motilal Nehru National Institute of Technology, Allahabad - 211 004, Uttar Pradesh
  •   Geetika Professor, School of Management Studies & Dean Academics, Motilal Nehru National Institute of Technology, Allahabad - 211 004, Uttar Pradesh
  •   Peeush Ranjan Agrawal Vice - Chancellor, Veer Bahadur Singh Purvanchal University, Jaunpur - 222 003, Uttar Pradesh

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2017/v11i2/110229

Keywords:

Macro-Economic Variables

, Foreign Institutional Investment, Exchange Rate, Index of Industrial Production, Wholesale Price Index, Granger Causality Test

C01

, E02, F3

Paper Submission Date

, March 5, 2016, Paper sent back for Revision, September 12, Paper Acceptance Date, January 5, 2017.

Abstract

The present paper attempted to understand the long-run relationship along with the direction of relationship between foreign institutional investments (FII) and macro-economic variables. For the purpose, three macro variables namely, index of industrial production, exchange rate, and wholesale price index were considered. The data relates to the period from 2003-04 to 2012-13, divided into two durations : pre sub-prime (2003-04 to 2007-08) and post sub-prime (2008-09 to 2012-13) on a monthly basis. The study found a long run equilibrium relationship between set of variables in the pre sub-prime duration ; whereas, this relationship disappeared in the post sub-prime duration. As per the results of Granger's causality test, no relationship was found between FII net investment and exchange rate, and uni-directional relationship moved from FII net investment to index of industrial production and FII net investment to wholesale price index in the pre sub-prime duration. In the post sub - prime duration, bi-directional causality was found between FII net investment and exchange rate ; whereas, uni-directional relationship was found from index of industrial production to FII net investment and FII net investment to wholesale price index. The main contribution of the research was to study the direction of relationship between FII and macro-economic variables in two; pre sub-prime and post sub-prime durations. Moreover, the direction of causality throws significant light on the behaviour of FIIs in a macro-economic perspective.

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Published

2017-02-01

How to Cite

Agarwal, T., Geetika, ., & Agrawal, P. R. (2017). Direction and Durability of Causality Between Foreign Institutional Investment and Selected Economic Variables in the Indian Context During Pre and Post Sub-Prime Crisis. Indian Journal of Finance, 11(2), 8–22. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2017/v11i2/110229

Issue

Volume 11, Issue 2, February 2017

Section

Articles
Crossref
Scopus
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Europe PMC

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